Volume 1 No. 7 October 22, 2000
Free Newsletter from StockG.com
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SUMMARY
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1. Market Overview ==> "Hold
on to your hat"
2. Week in Review ==> "Finally,
a positive week"
3. Upcoming Week's News
4. Investing Web-site
of the Week =>"VecorVest.com"
5. Stock of the Week =>"EMC"'
6. Stocks to Watch =>"OSI"
7. Strategy of the Week =>"Indexing"
8. Book of the Week =>"Beyond
Candlesticks"
9. Articles of the Week
10. Wizard's Quote of the
Week =>"How's the CEO"
11. Future Trends ==> "Home
Automation"
12. Monkey Picks ==> ""
13. Hot Links
14. Ask Us a Question ==>"What
makes stocks go up?"
15. Disclaimer
16. Miscellaneous
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1. MARKET OVERVIEW
----------------------------
Weeeeee! What a ride. One thing this market shows you is that
nothing is guaranteed. We really don't know what's up ahead
for us, and if you need your hard earned cash soon, then you shouldn't
be investing in the stock market. Over the short term the market
is very, very risky. But if you are a long term investor, the
market has just about guaranteed to give you a positive return
over the course of a 20 year period. This market also demonstrates
the danger of margin and not diversifying your portfolio. Our
primary focus in this newsletter is technology stocks, but make
sure you have some diversification in your portfolio.
Have we hit a bottom? I hope so, only time will tell. On the positive side the psychological support levels of 3,000 for the Nasdaq and 10,000 for the Dow were basically held, and earnings are good but some companies haven't done so well. The tech stocks have rocketed back as we previously predicted with 2 days of over 7% gains. Good earnings from Microsoft, Sun Microsystems and Nokia helped propel the market upward.. On the negative side, the market rallies are coming on lower volume. You'd like to see rallies occur on higher volume. Also, the number of stocks hitting new highs on the Nasdaq exceeded new lows on Friday which is a bullish sign. If the Nasdaq can break through the 3521 resistance barrier, and we can get a follow up rally to the rally on Thursday on the 25th through the 30th we should be in good shape.
The Nasdaq was up for the previous week for the first time
in 7 weeks. For the week, the Dow was up 34 points or 0.34%, the
Nasdaq was up 166 points or 5.02% and the S&P 500 was up 22.8
points or 1.66%. The Nasdaq had three down days and two up days
with support at 3000 and resistance at 3535.. Thursday was a great
day with the Nasdaq up 7.8%. If you view chart below Monday is
neutral, Tuesday bearish, Wednesday neutral, Thursday extremely
bullish and Friday is bullish. Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday
form a "Morning Star" which is a bullish reversal pattern.
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2. WEEK IN REVIEW
------------------------
Chevron and Texaco Agree to $100 Billion Merger Creating Top-Tier
Integrated Energy Company
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/001017/ca_ny_chev_2.html
Best Index for Safety? Maybe the Dow
http://www.cnbc.com/commentary/commentary_full_story_Markets.asp?StoryID=24819
Greenspan Upbeat on Productivity, Oil
http://www.cnbc.com/commentary/commentary_full_story_Markets.asp?StoryID=24894
Technology
------------------------------------
Nokia to the Rescue
http://www.fool.com/news/breakfast/2000/breakfast001019.htm
Sun: 'We're Firing on All Fronts'
http://www.smartmoney.com/bn/index.cfm?story=20001019094435
AMD Blazes Ahead With 1.2GHz Amd Athlon Processor and 800MHz
AMD Duron Processor
http://www.rapidcontent.com/isyndicate/business_wire.phtml?a=39ebe3e0.7dad.4&c=business_wire.corporate_newsfeed.ft&d=20001016
Qualcomm Strengthens China Foothold
http://www.fool.com/news/2000/qcom001016.htm
Beyond the EMC Numbers
http://www.fool.com/news/2000/emc001018.htm
AMD moves further ahead of Intel with chip
http://yahoo.cnet.com/news/0-1006-200-3216718.html?tag=st.ne.ron.lthd.ni
Identix Sends Fingerprint Kits to Microsoft
http://dailynews.yahoo.com/h/nm/20001017/tc/identix_dc_1.html
Microsoft Rallies on Profit Surprise
http://www.smartmoney.com/bn/index.cfm?story=20001019091102
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3. UPCOMING WEEKS NEWS
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SEC's full disclosure rule goes into effect this week. This rule
forces corporations to disclose information to the public at the
same time it discloses it to its clients.
IPO's
=====
See http://www.cnetinvestor.com/ipos/ipos-nextweek.asp
Some Upcoming Earnings
==========================
For complete list, see http://biz.yahoo.com/research/earncal/20001023.html
Interesting Upcoming Stock Splits
==========================
LEH - Lehman Bros.
ADBE - Adobe
DNA - Genentech
HWP - Hewlett Packard
For complete list see http://biz.yahoo.com/c/00/s10.html
Lockups Expiring
================
See http://www.ipo.com/ipoinfo/lockup.asp?p=IPO
Economic Calendar
=================
See http://biz.yahoo.com/c/00/10/cal4.html
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4. INVESTING WEB-SITE OF THE WEEK
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Our web-site of the week is http://www.VectorVest.com.
This site gives you a analysis of a stock you are interested in
based on three criteria, value, safety and timing. Go to the site,
click the "Free Stock Analysis" button on top and enter
a stock.
If you'd like to nominate an investing site as our "Investing
Web-site of the Week" reply to this newsletter with the subject
"Site of the Week"
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5. STOCK OF THE WEEK
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This report is dated 10/22/00
Our stock of the week is not a recommendation to buy or sell, just an interesting company you might want to follow. Please see our disclaimer at the end of this newsletter.
Our stock of the week is EMC Corp. ticker (EMC). EMC's home
page is at http://www.emc.com.
Get a quote for EMC at http://quote.yahoo.com/q?s=emc&d=v1
EMC builds the world's most robust, secure and trusted information
storage infrastructures. Their storage systems, software, networks
and services ensure fast, round-the-clock access to all of the
information businesses and individuals must have to prosper in
the Information Economy. To EMC's customers, EMC is the caretaker
of the world's information. Stock has held up pretty well during
this market correction.
If you invest in this stock please use only an amount you are willing to lose as it is risky. Stock is currently MACD up-trend which is good and above it's 50 and 200 day moving average which is good. If you do enter it you should cut your loses at 8% of your original investment which is a stop price of $92 at its current price of $100. Stock is up 13% in the last 3 months, up 52% in the last 6 months and up 207% in the last 12 months and its performed worse than stocks in its industry group over the past 3, and 6 months and better over the past 12 months.. Its 52-week high is $104 15/16 and it's currently trading at $100 which is 4.7% from its high. Resistance at $105 and support at $90. According to their 10Q there are no legal proceedings against EMC which will have any adverse effect on the companies business. Their revenues for the previous 12 months were $8.1 billion with $1.4 Billion in income. One year sales growth of 66% and income growth of 49%. Morningstar.com rates EMC as a "B" for Growth, "A+" for profitability, "A+" for financial health, and a "C-" for valuation which is an Good rating but a little overvalued. Barchart.com rates 40% short term buy, 75% Medium term buy and long-term 67% buy which is good. Stock has a 1.36 rating on Yahoo, which is excellent. VectorVest rates it poor value, very good safety, excellent timing. for an overall rating of very good and they have a buy recommendation on the stock. To do a complete analysis go to http://StockG.com/q.htm.
Risks
It has a high P/E ratio relative to its peers. Stock is overvalued,
and the Nasdaq has been performing poorly. Technology risk if
competing platform takes market share away. Sun Microsystems is
trying to get market share from EMC. Another risk is that it's
approaching $100 and a lot stocks come under strong resistance
at this price.
Click below for research link on EMC:
* Motley Fools at http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=EMC
* Money Central at http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/research/wizards/srwfund.asp?Symbol=EMC
* Morningstar.com at http://quicktake.morningstar.com/Stocks/StockGrade/_EMC.html
* Barchart.com at http://quotes.barchart.com/texpert.asp?sym=EMC&code=1
* SmartMoney.com at http://smartmoney.com/eqsnaps/index.cfm?story=competition&symbol=EMC&fk=7272
* ClearStation.com at http://www.clearstation.com/cgi-bin/details?Event=peek&Symbol=EMC&Refer=http://www.clearstation.com/
* Yahoo at http://quote.yahoo.com/q?s=EMC&d=b
* Second Opinion at http://suretrade.stkwtch.com/Suretrade/Secop/EMC.asp
* Thomson I-watch at http://iw.thomsoninvest.net/iwatch/cgi-bin/iw_page?ticker=EMC
* Raging Bull at http://www.ragingbull.altavista.com/mboard/boards.cgi?board=EMC
* 10Q at http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790070/000091205700036440/0000912057-00-036440.txt
* Broker Reports at http://www.cnetinvestor.com/reports-single-company.asp?symbol=EMC
* Momentum report at http://www.cnetinvestor.com/momentum-rating-single-company.asp?symbol=EMC
* Vector Vest at http://www.vectorvest.com
* Price History YTD:
http://chart.yahoo.com/t?a=12&b=28&c=99&d=10&e=15&f=04&g=d&s=EMC&y=0&z=EMC
* Previous News: http://biz.yahoo.com/n/e/emc.html
Please note that author doesn't own shares of this stock.
YTD (Year-to-date) Chart
If you'd like to nominate a "Stock of the Week" reply
to this email with your stock pick.
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6. STOCKS TO WATCH
----------------------------
Outback Steak house.(OSI) - We had horrible food and horrible
service at the Westbury, Long Island, restaurant, long waits makes
this a possible short candidate. Let us know if you've eaten there
and what your experience was. Reply to this email with the subject
"Outback" . If you've had a bad experience with a company
or product, let us know by replying to this email with the subject
"ShortIt".
-----------------------
7. STRATEGY OF THE WEEK
-----------------------
Indexing
In this strategy you attempt to match an indexes return. This
strategy will get you the return of the S&P 500. There is
a stock SPY which tracks this index. You can also index to the
Nasdaq via QQQ and the Dow Jones via DIA. You can also trade with
a countries index. called WEBS. See http://options.nasdaq.com/asp/option_index_trackers.asp
-----------------------------
8. BOOK OF THE WEEK
-----------------------------
Our book of the week is "Beyond Candlesticks" by Steve
Nison. Internationally recognized as "The Father of Candelsticks,"
Nison introduces even more powerful yet subtle Japanese charting
techniques that have never been published or used in the Western
world before. Detailed charts and graphs take readers step-by-step
through each charting technique. These versatile techniques can
be used for equities, fixed income, foreign exchange and overseas
markets. See reviews or purchase at http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/047100720X/etopinvestorcom
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If you've enjoyed the newsletter, please visit us. Thanks.
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9. ARTICLES OF THE WEEK
------------------------------
CPI: Reading Consumer Inflation
http://www.cnbc.com/commentary/commentary_full_story_Markets.asp?StoryID=24746
Don't Jump at Biotech IPOs
http://www.fool.com/news/2000/ipo001016.htm
Intel vs. Advanced Micro
http://www.fool.com/news/2000/intc001017.htm
Investors Cherish All That Fits in Palm of Hand
http://dailynews.yahoo.com/h/nm/20001018/tc/handhelddevices_dc_1.html
20 Stocks Worth a Closer Look
http://www.fool.com/specials/2000/sp001018.htm
Dangers of Overpaying
http://www.fool.com/news/foth/2000/foth001019.htm
Biotech's Fatal Attraction
http://www.fool.com/portfolios/rulebreaker/2000/rulebreaker001017.htm
A New Attempt to Out-Napster Napster
http://www.ecompany.com/articles/web/0,1653,8739,00.html
10 Stocks Under $25 - November 2000
http://www.smartmoney.com/magportfolios/stocks/index.cfm?story=stock-10under252000
Tech Fund Pros That Can Pick ‘Em
http://www.cnbc.com/commentary/commentary_full_story_Funds.asp?StoryID=24857
Wanna Short Amazon?
http://www.fool.com/portfolios/rulebreaker/2000/rulebreaker001018.htm
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10. WIZARD'S QUOTE OF THE WEEK
-----------------------------------------------
"How's the CEO"
How is the CEO of the corporation you are investing in. Is he or she a dynamic speaker and motivator? Is he or she overpaid? Is this person a visionary leader? Attend a stockholders meeting if you can, it's always nice to know who's managing your money.
Ask the Stock Wizard a question at http://StockG.com/FI_StockWizard.htm?em
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11. FUTURE TRENDS
-------------------------------------
Want to automate your home. A company called Echelon plans to
be a part of this. See their web-site at http://www.echelon.com.
Turn on lights, open-close the blinds, soon TV and stereo at http://demo.echelon.com/layout.htm
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12. MONKEY PICKS
-------------------------------------
Our Monkey has picked the following stocks for the week of October
22, 2000
INFT - Inforte Corp
ECIL - ECI Telecom
UPC - Uniion Planters
AJG - Arrhur J Gallagr
ATW - Atwood Oceanics
Get a quote at yahoo here http://quote.yahoo.com/q?s=inft+ecil+upc+ajg+atw&d=v4
You can visit our monkey at http://StockG.com/FI_Monkey.htm
-------------------
13. HOT LINKS
-------------------
* Quick Research: http://www.StockG.com/q.htm
* Stock Wizard: http://www.StockG.com/FI_StockWizard.htm
* Stock Picking Monkey: http://www.StockG.com/FI_Monkey.htm
* Software: http://www.StockG.com/FI_Downloads.htm
* Random: http://www.StockG.com/FE_random.htm
* Books: http://www.StockG.com/FI_Books.htm
* Glossary: http://www.StockG.com/FI_GlossaryA-M.htm
* Biotech: http://www.eBiotechInvestor.com
* What's New: http://www.StockG.com/FI_New.htm
* Technology: http://www.StockG.com/FI_Technology.htm
* Top sites: http://www.StockG.com/t.htm
* Our Affiliate Store:http://www.StockG.com/STORE.HTM
-------------------------
14. ASK US A QUESTION
-------------------------
Why do stock prices move up or down?
The price of a stock moves up or down based on supply and demand. Market Makers (Specialists on the New York Stock Exchange) make money by trading on the spread. Market Makers are the companies who buy or sell the same stock and make a profit on the difference of the price. The spread is the difference in the price they buy a stock from you and sell it to someone else. Market makers want to have an equal number of buyers and sellers to make the most profit with the least risk. If they are buying a stock like Microsoft from you at $60 they want to know they have someone to sell it to at a higher price like $61. If there are more buyers than sellers the market maker will raise the price they sell the stock for to try to keep the number of buyers and seller equal. This allows them to make the most profit. So it the free market of supply and demand that causes the prices to move up or down.
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15. DISCLAIMER
--------------------
We are not responsible for any losses or profits that may result
from the application of information contained with this website
or newsletter. This site and its owners are not registered
Investment Advisers nor a Broker/Dealer. This site is issued solely
for informational and educational purposes only
and is not constructed as an offer to sell or the solicitation
of an offer to buy. The information provided on this site is in
no way a verification of the methodology used for stock picking
by the site or guarantees the accuracy of the information, that
is your responsibility. The opinions and analysis included
herein are based from sources believed to be reliable and in good
faith but no representation or warranty, expressed or implied
is made as to their accuracy, completeness or correctness. The
inclusion of a link to a site does not, in any way, represent
or imply an approval of, or a determination of the quality of
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Users are urged to consult with their own independent financial
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mentioned. The data and materials are provided by StockG.com on
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right to buy or sell any of these profiled stocks before and after
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